Jupiler League Week 29 Sunday Previews
Saturday was a bit of a roller coaster with plenty of tiny bets and a hit rate of around 50% which didn't really get me anywhere despite the fact that the pre-game positions highlighted in the previews yesterday performed pretty well. Overall right now, I'm a bit indecisive on most of the matches so I am keeping a low profile trying to be very selective today in the bets I will take. The match between AA Gent and Club Brugge got delayed because of too many corona cases so 3 matches today...
Standard vs Anderlecht
This is one of those matches where any kind of fundamental handicapping feels totally pointless. Anderlecht has been all over the place some matches actually playing really well and other matches not being able to create a single attempt on goal. In their last 2 matches, this was the case with them literally not creating anything. So what do we see, Anderlecht being the -0.25 favorite in this match which based on previous times rather strange odds like this formed on the Asian betting market, Anderlecht always delivered a really solid performance. So just based on the price action this has to be the main thing I look at when trying to make a sensible prediction of how this one will play out. Standard has also not impressed in the previous matches and are without a win in the last 5 games with striker Klaus being questionable and Raskin being injured. For me, this is a match I just stay as far as possible away from unless I'm able to see some confirmation in-game. No Pre-Game BetsBeerschot vs Moeskroen
Beerschot has been in a bad period but showed some signs of life again last weekend. They are in 7th position still in range for playoff 1 and also in danger to drop out of playoff 2. They haven't been the most offensive-minded team under their new coach especially when being ahead in a match. Moeskroen is in the relegation battle and could use a win today as they are 3 points behind on Cercle. They are in a pretty bad streak though losing their last 3 matches. I don't really have a strong opinion on this one with a lean on the home team who are set as the slight favorite I might get in on live if I see some confirmation. No Pre-Game Bets.Sint-Truiden vs Eupen
These teams are 15th and 14th in the league and not safe just yet. A draw might not be the worst result in the world for both teams at this stage. Both played a rather boring match last weekend but also had plenty of matches with multiple goals. The only bet I am willing to put a tiny stake on pre-game is Eupen Corners +0.5 @ 1.92 as they managed to win their last 7 corners against non-top-teams both home and away while Stvv isn't anything special on the corners. I'm just going to wait it out and see what the match brings beforme comiting anything else.Pre-Game Preview Bets I continue to share many of my pre-game bets in all my preview posts. Most of them are smaller bets or trading positions and some of them I took early in the week and might not have the exact same odds available. These bets should just be seen as info and not as something to blindly follow. Record on them so far this season is 193 Bets | +13.82% ROI on Flat Unit bets (See Results) Bigger pre-game bets which are rare these days I also tend to take extra on those in BTC.
Season 2020-2021 BTC Bets
Date | Bet | mBTC | Odds | Result | Betslip |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/01/2021 | Standard vs Waasland BTS | 2.5 | 1.86 | +2.15 | sportbet.one |
01/11/2020 | Antwerp -0.5 | 10 | 3.50 | -10 | sportbet.one |
03/10/2020 | OHL vs Zulte 1H Under 1.25 | 10 | 2.010 | +5.005 | sportbet.one |
Other Bookies, Projects & Platforms I used...
Month | Bets | Won | Lost | Push | Staked | Profit BTC | ROI |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jan 2020 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0100 | +0.01271 | +127% |
Dec 2019 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.0200 | -0.002000 | -100% |
Nov 2019 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0200 | -0.001800 | -9.00% |
Oct 2019 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.0400 | -0.020800 | -52.00% |
Sep 2019 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.0400 | +0.028890 | +72.22% |
Aug 2019 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0.1000 | +0.033860 | +33.86% |
July 2019 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0200 | +0.018000 | +90.0% |
Jun 2019 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0000 | +0.000000 | +0.00% |
May 2019 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0.0700 | -0.050000 | -71.43% |
Apr 2019 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.0500 | +0.024170 | +48.34% |
Mar 2019 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.0700 | +0.004120 | +5.89% |
Feb 2019 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.060 | +0.023210 | +23.21% |
Jan 2019 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0.100 | -0.079640 | -79.64% |
Dec 2018 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0.150 | -0.058880 | -39.25% |
Nov 2018 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0.170 | -0.032170 | -18.92% |
Oct 2018 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0.150 | -0.028290 | -18.86% |
Sep 2018 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0.140 | +0.141820 | +101,3% |
Aug 2018 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.080 | +0.045470 | +56.84% |
Jul 2018 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0.135 | +0.033590 | +24.88% |
Jun 2018 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0.150 | +0.018200 | +12.13% |
May 2018 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.020 | +0.023440 | +117% |
Feb 2018 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0.091 | -0.036293 | -39,88% |
Jan 2018 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0.147 | +0.005800 | +3.95% |
Dec 2017 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0.148 | +0.010422 | +7.04% |
Nov 2017 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 0.210 | -0.008030 | -3.82% |
Oct 2017 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0.210 | +0.003080 | +1.46% |
Sep 2017 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0.090 | +0.001440 | +1.60% |
Total | 266 | 124 | 126 | 16 | 2.491 | +0.092319 | +3.71% |
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