Week 28 Results | 15W-22L-5P | +0.344 Units Profit

about 1 year ago

This is a weekly overview of my personal sports betting/trading results on teams from the Belgian Jupiler League documenting my journey toward long-term profit with some insights on my overall approach.

Week 28 was one that literally had it all. I started out with 2 really good matches in the cup where that almost went exactly as I anticipated also capitalized on them with a total of +2 units won keeping me really disciplined as the market at one point looking really scary with a line move. So I went into the weekend with quite some confidence (arguably overly confident) with the goal not to give it all away again and potentially build on it making this in one of those weeks where I was able to bring out the Rocketship thumbnail. This however didn't play out as all how I hoped and pretty much the worst-case scenario took place.

So afer some great calls during the mid-week, I had some really bad bets over the weekend where I was just way off on the completely wrong side, this was combined with a couple bigger bets where I was on the underdog in matches that felt like coinflips but still went the wrong way (Kortrijk & Anderlecht) on the other hand, I did get lucky with the 1H corner bet in Stvv against Genk.

The 42 bets this week kind of represent an entire season where I get some really great bets, some really bad ones along with good luck and bad luck to end up with a volume that is slightly below where I want it on average and a realistic +4.65% ROI. The funny thing is that if it would have been the same +0.344 unit result but the other way around staring out bad but still getting it up to a profit it would feel a lot better.

That said, I just keep looking at things one match at a time, one week at a time, 1 season at a time, ... and try to make as many good betting decisions as possible which so far has resulted in not a single losing season which I aim to continue.

Pre-Game Preview Bets Season 2022-2023

The selected pre-game bets did great going 3W-1L which once again puts me above 10 units profit on these bets which are counted with flat stakes.

Previous 2 Seasons Result

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Regular Season 2022-2023 Personal Betting Chart

The week also very much reflects on the season chart as I was on my way to reach new highs but got rejected quite hard still ranging well above the pink expected profit line. I'm not at +4.27% ROI on 1240 bets over the season and how it usually goes toward the end is that I start to be more cautious just because I want to keep the stats up being less willing to take risks which could make things come crashing down. Not that much is needed to drop units quickly. At the same time I still aim to reach higher highs and potentially have another great run up. So it will be a matter of managing things and optimally I would not be busy with these things whatsoever.

 Regular Season 2022-2023 Results
1240 Bets | 552W-539L-149P | 186.857 Staked | +7.973u Profit | +4.27% ROI

Previous Seasons Personal Betting Results [6641 Bets +3.57% ROI]

Season 2021-2022 | 1364 Bets +2.72% ROI
Season 2020-2021 | 1504 Bets +4.37% ROI
Season 2019-2020 | 1406 Bets +2.48% ROI
Season 2018-2019 | 1090 Bets +2.47% ROI
Season 2017-2018 | 821 Bets +7.22% ROI

Plenty of mid-week action with 4 European games and week 29 of the regular season of the league in the weekend are coming up so expect more previews and bets along with another result update 7 days from now.

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