CBDCs: Another Nail In The Banker's Coffin

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(Edited)

We all heard the threats of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs). Actually, they are not a threat since many countries, led by China, are going forward with them.

As much as individuals within the industry despise the idea, there is another group who is even more threatened by them: the bankers.

Just like cryptocurrency tied to permissionless blockchains is a direct threat to the banking system, we can easily see CBDCs pose another problem for them.

In short, it is the governments of the world looking to take over a fundamental aspect of the banking industry. Couple this with decentralized finance (DeFi) looking to end other aspects, and we can see how the bankers are cooked.

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The Digital Wallet

The entire story starts with the digital wallet. This is a fundamental aspect of cryptocurrency yet changes the entire financial system.

When one has a wallet, say Bitcoin, there is no need for any other party involved. An individual has a place to store the Satoshis. At the same time, one can also send and receive money without permission. The blockchain handles the transactions along with the settlement. It is all very simple.

Of course, if we step back, this is what banks provide most people. They have a place to store their money. With an account, one can send and receive usually without issue. The bank handles all the transactions as well as the settlements.

We can already see how this is an affront on a fundamental service the banks provide.

CBDCs also contain a digital wallet. The main difference is that it will likely not be decentralized. Instead, it will be permissioned so the governments, and their minions, can maintain control.

There are some discussions about having the banks operate as custodians of the wallet. That is typical thinking but what is the point? Why would that even be required? The ledger is on some network that, presumably, the governments will control. A wallet simply accesses the data.

Governments Tend To Not Like Competition

Blockchain and cryptocurrency make banks obsolete. Since the basis of their business is stripped by the digital wallet, many other factors instant melt away.

For example, many banks depend upon deposits as the core for their model. They take in money and then engage in interest bearing transactions. This is effectively cutting the head right off. Without this cashflow, there is little that can be done to prop up the other aspects of the business.

If the governments of the world can wrestle away control of the money system from the banks, it is likely they take that opportunity. As we in the world of cryptocurrency world already see, the banking system, on many levels, is already redundant.

It is only logical to think that the governments will want to step in and assume that role. After all, we are told cryptocurrency is a threat to the stability of the financial system. Of course, if it is run by the government, then all is well.

CBDCs can be government's entry into control over the monetary system. Many believe the major currencies are controlled by governments but they are not. It is the commercial banking system that determines the supply through loans.

With CBDCs, the politicians will not have to worry about that. They can fund their pet projects, at least until they destroy the confidence people have in them.

The Private Sector Always Controlled The Money

Throughout history, the private sector was the one who always controlled money. This does not appear to be logical until one realizes that money is used for commerce. It is the basis for business. Regardless of what governments do, people need to engage in some form of trade to sustain themselves. Here is where the government-led utopian ideas falter.

Even in the days of coinage, we saw the emergence of ghost money through merchant credit. This effectively turned many business people into money creators.

Today, with cryptocurrency, we are rapidly approaching the point where anyone can be a money creator. As the technology improves, we are going to see people able to easily spin up new tokens. Depending upon the use case, this will serve some of the functions of money for a handful of people.

Multiply this out over thousands of tokens and we see how big the impact can be. Thus, even before CBDCs gain any traction, the bankers are staring down at their demise. The utility they provide is no longer needed.

Hence, we can see the atypical battle of the governments versus the people shaping up. If the bankers are removed from the equation, it will just pit the masses against the few using the power of government. The question will be who wins in the end?

Fortunately, the way government is structured these days, it was not built to operate in the digital world. This is an entirely new arena for them, something that seems to have them lagging.

They will try to keep pace in the money game with CBDCs. IT is their best chance to try and retain power. Sadly for them, the spread of cryptocurrency and all its tentacles is moving at a faster pace. Each day, more development occurs. The collective effect, over a few years, will be a complex organic system that is global in nature. It will also reside exclusively in the digital world.

The establishment still things in terms of geographic area, jurisdiction, and nation-state. In the digital realm, none of these even factors in.


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34 comments
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I recently read about the Zimbabwe going the "Gold Coin" route. I wonder how many of their citizens can afford it. Also do you think metals and the diamond or something from govt can stop crypto now? I guess not but just trying to understand the logic from banker and govt perspective.

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They have no idea what to make of cryptocurrency. Perhaps the bankers do but the people in government are dumbstruck. They have no idea what is taking place and how powerful this is.

We just keep building. The future will unfold how we develop it. This is the key with a global initiative with a bunch of different players.

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Instead, it will be permissioned so the governments, and their minions, can maintain control

Is this not a bar idea, what this shouldn't be acceptable,one of reason crypto comes into existence is for government should not be able to control our money,no one should know when I spend or receive my money,if this is taken from crypto why are we holding it , can't they just keep calm and just accept crypto without regulating it

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Well government isnt really happy with crypto being out of their reach. We see how they are trying to reign it in.

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Lol 😂, they can't cancel it and they can't leave it

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Most government of in this world is moving at a snail 🐌 pace I doubt they can catch up. But it will be interesting what will happen in the future where even in my country Malaysia government has started digital wallet called Luno if you buy and sell they get a cut from it.

If not mistaken even transferring they get a cut from it as well. Sadly it's working most people are using it including me. But with Hive I can always ask a friend to buy or sell Hive to me and I can bank in to their account directly without middle men.

It will be interesting as always your post is always informative and compact as usual thanks again can't wait for the next one.

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I agree the big difference is the pace which things can move. Government is riddled with bureaucracy. The digital world can move very quickly, especially once we see more infrastructure in place.

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Great Post!

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I guess it comes down to the use cases of CBDCs, will governments make it as the primary option for engaging in transactions in a nation state? For example, paying taxes or bills. While cryptocurrencies continue to be an alternative.

Anyhow, I think non government related transactions are more than government related transactions so they still wouldn't be able to grab a large market share unless third parties chip in too.

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It is only a matter of how long until they throw in the towel in my opinion. This is a fight they cannot win.

To much development already took place and we are going to see a lot more infrastructure roll out by the end of the year.

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governments want to have control of everything as simple as that and I think they will do everything possible to achieve their objective

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That is typical thinking but what is the point? Why would that even be required?

Because they need to make sure their golfing buddies in the banking would are still able to pay their greens fees!

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Do politicians even have to pay greens fees? It thought they were just comped everything.

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Only the ones who own the course maybe 😃

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This is an entirely new arena for them, something that seems to have them lagging.

I very much agree with this and especially in most governments where the leaders are of fosil brains. By 2030 we should be having a clearer view of how our monetary system will shape up.

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I think we will have a clearer picture by 2025. It is amazing how quickly things can move, especially during a bear market.

What happens if we have a fully operation projectblank with tens of millions of users by that time?

How will they control the narrative?

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Government would always want to hold power my hook or crook. CBDC is the government's own way of competing with cryptocurrency, nevertheless is goes bad for the bank.

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Goes bad for the people too if it comes into being without an alternative.

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That's for sure, a really bad one at that...
The question would be who's bringing an alternative if there's going to be one.

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I just don't see how CBDCs will really instill faith into people when they see how irresponsible the government can be with money. The entire control over the CBDCs is not something people would like and I do think crypto where you know exactly how much someone else has is better.

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. . . anyone can be a money creator.

I love that.

. . . governments versus the people . . .

I still believe that there is a legitimate role for government but not in finance. However, with the dominant philosophy of government we have right now all over the world, such a conflict is unavoidable.

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We will see.

One thing cryptocurrency hasnt deal with a great deal is governance. Wait until there is massive experimentation in that arena.

It will only be a matter of time before that starts to spread to our non-digital systems if a viable one(s) are found.

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Is it bigger than DAO?

By "government," I mean "civil," not the church, self, or even an evolution from the private sector.

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Government tend not to like competition which is why they will make sure all possible means are put in place to shift people’s attention from crypto by constantly downplaying the many opportunities it brings just because it is permissionless.

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My only hope and saving grace is that we develop so much that by the time CBDC’s are talked about at dinner tables, it will be an issue of annoyance rather than requirement. We all know what they did in Canada to the truckers. These crazy fucks want to do that to the entire world.

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Yes that is why I was happy with the renomination of Powell for chair of the Fed. He is not in the CBDC camp and is going to drag his feet before fighting it.

Outside of that he is a politician. But to me, that one trait of resisting CBDC is enough. That gives us 4 years to develop before another Fed chair is brought in.

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You think ve at ze Vorld Economic Forum can't get you all using ze CBDCs? You are funny.... I am now laughing into my cup of Adrenochrome (I got some from Frau Clinton, she makes it in her basement you know...)

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