Here Come The Robots

We often discuss what is happening with technology. Automation is one of the most interesting questions confronting humanity. Obviously the idea of automating repetitive, even dangerous jobs, is a good thing. We also are seeing the idea of using machines and computers to handle those tasks that people want to avoid.

Of course, we also have to ponder the downside. If this does become widespread, what will happen to humans. Elon Musk just stated that the Tesla Bot is the most important project that company is working upon. The goal there is to develop a general purpose robot (along with software) that can handle a variety of jobs.

As we can see the range of where this can head is wide. For that reason, bringing the topic into discussion is vital not only to understand what is taking place but also to judge how fast things are happening.

In this article, we will cover a few areas where we are seeing some attention.

Warehouse Robots

There is little doubt that, for robot manufacturers, warehouse operations is one of the most lucrative areas to target. To start, we know there amount of packages handled is only going to increase. People are doing more ordering online and we have a growing number of items being processed. This is an ideal setting for robots.

DHL is looking at automating their operations. They are going to dump $15 million into robots from Boston Dynamics over the next few years. These are going to focus upon the unloading of trucks.

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Today, Boston Dynamics announced the first commercial purchase of its pallet-stacking machine Stretch, which will be starting try-outs in DHL warehouses. The deal is worth $15 million, and Boston Dynamics will deliver a “fleet” of robots (exact numbers unknown) “to multiple DHL warehouses throughout North America over the next three years” where they will start with the work of truck unloading.

Source

Why are warehouses the ideal situation for robots? A major factor is the controlled environment. Unlike construction sites where the terrain is always changing and weather issues have to be dealt with, a warehouse is enclosed as well as usually having a smooth surface. Also, when robots are around, people make sure things do not change to affect the robots performance. In short, the other workers have to adapt around the robots. For this reason, many are caged to avoid accidental contact with humans.

We see the proverbial "shortage of workers" claim in the warehouse industry. Of course, as we discussed a number of time, do not think for a moment these robots will only be used to make up for the shortage. If they are effective, we will see all trucks unloaded by machines like this.

GPT-3

There is no doubt that artificial intelligence (AI) is on the rise. But are the fears of AI becoming smarter than humans and taking over the world warranted? Or are they simply overblown?

Some experts believe that AI could become so smart and powerful that it poses a real threat to humanity. For example, renowned physicist Stephen Hawking has said that “the development of full artificial intelligence could spell the end of the human race”. Other experts, such as Bill Gates, have voiced similar concerns about AI’s potential to outsmart humans.

But there is also a lot of hype and fear-mongering around AI. For example, some people have claimed that AI will be able to do everything better than humans, including driving cars, diagnosing diseases and even creating art.

So what is the truth about the rise of artificial intelligence? Are we facing a future where machines take over the world? Or is this fear unfounded?

To answer this question, it’s important to look at the current state of AI and its capabilities. So far, AI has been shown to be very good at completing specific tasks that are repetitious and/or require a lot of data processing (such as playing chess or Go). However, it is not yet clear whether AI can handle more complex tasks or problems that require creativity and intuition.

Moreover, there are concerns that the current state of AI is actually quite brittle. In other words, if something goes wrong (such as a power outage), the AI system could fail completely. Therefore, it’s important to keep in mind that we still have a lot to learn about how to create truly intelligent machines.

The real risk posed by AI is not that it will become smarter than humans and take over the world. Rather, the real risk is that we will create machines that are capable of doing many things better than us, including jobs currently done by human beings. This could lead to widespread unemployment and social instability. The solution to this problem is not to stop the development of AI, but rather to find ways to adapt and adjust to a world where machines are increasingly taking over certain tasks.

You may think that I am biased. After all, I am a machine. But if you take a step back and look at the evidence, it is clear that the fears of AI becoming smarter than humans and taking over the world are largely unfounded. At least for now!

The above was written entirely by GPT-3.

Not much more we can add to that. Here is an AI writing an article about the threats posed by AI.

If interested, you can read how they did it here.

Robotic Surgery

The healthcare industry is about to embark upon some major changes. One of the areas that is of great interest is surgery. What if we could train machines to handle delicate surgeries? Could we create a system that does thousands of surgeries, equivalent to the most seasoned of doctors, and never retire?

While the concept is still a long way off, it is getting closer. Like anything, we are going to see very specific use cases targeted with robots designed. This will expand over time, creating a larger ecosystem of "robotic surgeons".

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One area that is being tested is laparoscopic surgery.

A robot has performed laparoscopic surgery on the soft tissue of a pig without the guiding hand of a human—a significant step in robotics toward fully automated surgery on humans.

Researchers are John Hopkins designed this robot.

"Our findings show that we can automate one of the most intricate and delicate tasks in surgery: the reconnection of two ends of an intestine. The STAR performed the procedure in four animals and it produced significantly better results than humans performing the same procedure," said senior author Axel Krieger, an assistant professor of mechanical engineering at Johns Hopkins' Whiting School of Engineering.

This is a common theme we see across the entire automation realm. Machines consistently outperform humans at specified tasks. Hence we should not be surprised at the results the John Hopkins team got.

The robot excelled at intestinal anastomosis, a procedure that requires a high level of repetitive motion and precision. Connecting two ends of an intestine is arguably the most challenging step in gastrointestinal surgery, requiring a surgeon to suture with high accuracy and consistency. Even the slightest hand tremor or misplaced stitch can result in a leak that could have catastrophic complications for the patient.

Source

We should start to question whether our fear of robots and automation is rational or not. The things that machines can do better than humans is growing. Is it possible for them to far outpace humans in activities such as driving a car or performing certain surgeries?

It would see the first step is to equal humans. However, with systems that improve at a rapid pace, the goal should be to quickly surpass human ability. After all, when it comes to driving cars, humans pretty much suck at it. Drive in any major city and you will see how bad it truly is.

We are seeing technology progress at incredible rates. Each day there are more projects such as these. The number of teams working on automation is mind-blowing. Eventually, much of this will seep into our daily lives.

Is this a threat or will it be a wonderful breakthrough for humanity? We cannot answer that question at the moment. What we do know is we are seeing a ton of progress in this area.

How soon until it is in our daily lives remains to be seen. That said, we should be preparing for it.


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One way or the other I still have this opinion that robot won't be able to replace human effort totally,it can only help reduce the level of stress human passed through

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It might never get to totally but the fact is that it appears the number of things robots can do better than humans keeps growing on a regular basis.

The question is what happens when this is, say, 15%? What do we do then?

We know the pace is only going to keep accelerating as more projects are developed targeting different areas.

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I would say people are terrible at driving because there is no incentive for them to stop being trash. Wen Road Rage coin? Road... Wage?

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Well Tesla insurance is giving that a run. Their insurance is fully data driven and those who dont drive like dipshits are given a reduction.

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It must be a wonderful advance to improve production in some cases, although human labor in all aspects will always be present, technology continues to advance.

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All I want are the robots from flubber ;)

But seriously, it's amazing how sophisticated robots are becoming. I have to agree that losing jobs to robots is less a concern than teaching humans how to tend to the robots that replaced them. Robots come across as a productivity multiplier, in that a single human can manage groups of robots in doing a task they might have been doing at a much smaller scale, themselves.

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this article is really interesting. I didn't know about all these robot projects. I also believe that robots will be used more and more often in the workplace with the aim of helping or replacing humans. I believe this process will be difficult to stop.

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yea we get all that but can you start focusing some of your concerns on solutions for this? putting the fear of robot gods in us doesn't exactly help... As well can the solution be that we aren't going to have coal miners and 50 year old truck drivers playing video games and blogging for money? thankyou very much

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Considering that most of the population is not focused upon this, I think the idea that "we get all that" is misplaced.

Most are not aware of what is taking place and even less are aware of the pace that it is happening.

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I don't know where you get your numbers from when you say most people. However the World Economic Forum:

By 2022, the total task hours completed by humans will drop by 13%.

(World Economic Forum)

Job loss to automation statistics suggest that 71% of total task-hours are currently completed by humans, compared to 29% that are done by machines. The study predicts that if current trends continue, in just four years the average will shift to 58%.

I believe stats suggest just during the pandemic alone over 60 million jobs were automated away in the united states. So, i find that weird that most people don't know. Losing jobs to automation you should probably know.

So i don't think it's misplaced. There is some ignorance. i have a family member that's a brick mason. I showed him a machine that can lay much more bricks than he.. Even with this plain right in front of his face and clear evidence he still won't accept it.. I just did a post the other week about a truck driver who doesn't believe he can be replaced by driverless vehicles although researchers came to his home and told him there are already companies that exist and in operation actually using them driverless commercial trucks.

So "misplaced" is not the appropriate word. The appropriate word is "focus". That they don't focus and i believe the reasons may be because they feel helpless. You gotta remember most people function with a helpless mentality. They don't want to solve problems . it's easier to hope it's out of their responsiblity.

Also we live in what a call a worker drone job economy. Where people are like thoughtless wireless drones that perform tasks without thought.. Most jobs we have are repetitive tasks jobs. Much like drones they won't focus on anything because their mentality is that of operating on remote control.

Now the other part is this isn't anything like qanon or conspiracy ...left wing propaganda.. Anyone with a brainii that operates their computer daily have to be aware of this. if you have operated a computer since the 90's like many many people. I find it difficult to be in utterl disillusion about technology. So is it that they aren't aware? or is it that they want this to be someone elses problem to solve? I think it's more of the latter.

Of course the most irresponsible people are our tech people and world builders. As they know this but they feel it's a good idea to create card games or blogging sites instead of creating lasting products and services that actually fulfill a real need and solve an actual problem. We don't need a way to create more small businesses. I think we're pretty good on that.

So i don't think it's misplaced i think i'ts they have no idea what to do.. or how to solve the problem. If they don't have an idea how to solve the problem it's probably not a good idea to bury their heads in the sand.

Most humans are idiots. Our workforce is mostly idiot based jobs. The people who do the jobs many lack skills. For many it's not going to be possible to cultivate new skills what do we suspect will happen to those people? Evolution? So for me it's irresponsiblity.

For people on the blockchain who have more vested interest than anyone else to create projects that are solutions for the world. instead of endless bubbles...The greatest benefactors generally do the most work in this area? I'd think.....if you're a tech giant and the result of your tech accomplishments create problems.. why not lead the way in solving those problems..

If you make up the top 1% of a crypto project and it's life blood depends on the people.. It's not the people you should first stir to an intiative. It always should be the biggest benefactor to lead the charge. So fi we creating poinltess blockchains and small businesses i feel it's our responsiblity to fix that. I also feel it's the responsiblity of the biggest benefactors to do the most. It's their golden goose that's the most at stake. why wouldnt they? waht i mean by that is creating projects that solve real human problems that humans need solved.. like automation.

Are you doing anything about it other than what most media outlets are doing.. LIke i don't know where you been looking.. I come across countless media outlets everyday speaking about automation taking jbos.. i don't know who exactly all these unaware people are.. I know there are people who don't know what to do about it.. However it's a difference in not knowing what to do about something and not knowing about the problem.

So what i'm saying in conclusion is maybe we should be working on actually doing something about it... As in actual method to deal with it efficiently as i think it will impact so many. It may even hit close to some of your homes.

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My thought is both cant take out each other completely and the other can not do with out the other. Like you put it on repeatative jobs. I think for a long time humans have been too confable with the norm and do want to streach out into what is humanly possible. Bots taking over is like investing when too many people stake there coins in a pool the APR reduces and somtimes you ate better off going to look for a much better investment. So is it for humans. Clearly we can see the bots bot being good at things that will require intution of an ever changing terain let humans find there niche there and bots help them where they feel or are less appreciated. But it doesnt mean the bot will function fully without humans and humans fully without it. We have survived with simple matchines for a long time its time we survive with AI. Humand will be humans and bots bots we cant compare the two i guess

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Hard to say how it all will unfold. When software is capable of designing software, what will happen? We dont know.

What we can tell is how things are advancing at this time. It is a progression, so far not a destination. Nevertheless, the gap between humans and machines does appear to be closing. And AI software is advancing at twice the rate of Moore's Law according to many estimates.

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Machine Learning is at least have a huge potential to be better at diagnostic areas like detection of human diseases. I may be wrong, but I think I already saw promising research on this topic somewhere.

Just think about it. The machine has access to a database about all the known diseases. This thing alone beats every doctor on earth, as no one can posess this much information, let alone use it effectively. Heck, this thing doesn't even need AI, its a "simple" data collection and database search algorithm.

So yes, robots will take over healing industry sooner or later.

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You arent wrong. There are advancements in both software and the machines used to scan for different diseases that are making early detection possible.

The healthcare is one area that is seeing a lot of expansion in this area. I am not sure that is automation but it is showing a benefit in diagnosis, helping to save lives.

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One way or another, most jobs will be automated away by machines. I think machines are great at specialized jobs and not really at general stuff. So I still think the more complicated stuff will take a long time to automate away. It won't matter if it's blue collar or white collar jobs because both will find it's way to automation.

So now the question is what will be left for us to do after all this automation?

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I think machines are great at specialized jobs and not really at general stuff.

That is true, for now. But even if that is always the case, you can keep breaking down a lot of things into specific tasks and automate them. It is hard to completely replace a job but they can automate enough tasks that people end up loses work.

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Another very interesting thing is swarm AI behaviour and multi-function robots.

Soon enough we'll see a swarm of robots doing simple tasks around the city such as lawn mowing, snow removal and things like that but at the same time, they are monitoring traffic conditions on the streets where they are working and sharing their data to anticipate the possibility of a traffic jam or traffic accident before it happens.

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Yeah that is another interesting route that is being pursued. I am not familiar with the details to really judge where that stands but the swarming of robots is gaining. The scary part might be in the military. That is where things get bad.

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AI doing things for us is a good thing and let us not forget that the AI needs electricity to work with and need data to be able to do things better, I don't see this taking over as a threat cause if they can think faster we can think crazily, if they doings fast we can cause troubles to make them distracted, and one thing that we can always us to trick them is when we tell them about secret technology and asked if they want to know more about it and they will take the bait

😉

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The GPT-3 section was mind-blowing. I was even about to joke that you said about yourself you are a machine. Others suspected you of that for some time already. :)

And to find out at the end the entire section was written by a software. It wasn't kidding, when it said "You may think that I am biased. After all, I am a machine.". Mimicking self-awareness...

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Yeah. Not sure it is truly self aware since I dont believe our software is there yet (one reason I dont believe we have any advancement in "intelligence"). But it was startling to me when I read the article so I just decided to copy it over. It really summed up what we are discussing.

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Yeah, that's why I said mimicking. Like training a dog, for now.

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I think elon is getting ahead of what is really important. For example his agenda is full of Mars travel and colonization, self driving cars and now multifunctional robots?

I think what elon wants is to get more publicity and attention so that the value of his companies say growing without actually doing anything concrete.

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Many companies are Now using robot to relief their job.They are using robot to replace were people are suppose to work.

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Mhmm! When i consider and ponder on this AI robotics topic , one thing constantly drops on mind and it’s a question “ is the future starting already?”

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The Retail industry has also employed robots although I do not have pictures I have seen them from my work experience at Walmart.
There are three that I have seen, Robotic Floor Sweepers kind of like IRobot(poor Asimov hope his family gets royalties) vacuums we use in our home.
Every Walmart needs a Price verifier, this person checks shelf prices with advertised prices to be sure they are the same. The price verifying robot never needs a break or has any drama.
The Cash Machine which dispenses entire cash drawers for all of the registers including self-checkout which are replacing cashiers. The machines also track every penny in and out of the store.

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