Belgian Cup | Thursday Previews
(Edited)
The expected goals did not come late in yesterday's matches leaving me with a loss of around 1.4 units going 0 on 9 so far this week. Still 5 days and 11 matches left to make it a 7th winning week in a row even though I wouldn't mind avoiding a big correction to the downside. I will continue to be rather cautious and a bit more selective going forward. 2 Interesting matches today...
Racing Genk vs KV Mechelen
Racing Genk is not in a good flow right now and remain a team on my list to possibly oppose despite the fact that they won with a 1-2 score away against Charleroi last weekend. They went all defensive after they took the lead with a penalty and Charleroi was the better team in the 2nd half. In the match against Oostende before, there were 3 goals in the 1st half without a single chance. Mechelen deserved to score in the match against Oostende which they lost 2-0. They went forward in the 2nd half but mostly created corners. The match before against AA Gent was rather disappointing as neither team was willing to play forward and take risks. Van Damme is still out for Mechelen who show a very negative result without them. This leaves me with 2 teams I'm not willing to back at the moment and a -0.25 line on the home team which seems fair. I don't expect a wide-open start of the match and am tempted to take a pre-game trading position on the 1st half Under 1 @ 2.33 but then again who knows. I will mostly be looking at 'form-of-the-day' and will also consider betting Mechelen on the corners if Genk scores first. No Pre-Game BetsStandard vs Club Brugge
Standard had some fortunate results right after their new coach Leye was assigned but have fallen back a lot now being without a win in their last 6 matches. Last weekend they lost deserved against Anderlecht while Club Brugge keeps cruising through the league despite having major corona issues with key players along with their coach being out. Their defense is pretty much unaffected by missings and Vanaken should be back tonight even though it remains to be seen what the effect of covid will have on him still. Dost got injured so they are missing their main striker while Lang will likely start on the bench. Club Brugge has shown to be capable even with a B-Squad at the moment and they were head-and-shoulders above Standard in their previous meeting a while back. The odds were set at -0.25 @ 1.98 early in the week due to the uncertainty of missing players. Club Brugge -0.25 @ 1.980 is what I ended up taking an initial tiny bet on (due to limits). I was close to taking -0.25 @ 1.90 as a bigger official bet later in the week but the slight hesitation had it drop to 1.80 after which I kind of missed the boat to see the line now at -0.5 @ 1.877 which no longer interests me. Club Brugge to make a comeback when they would fall behind at those odds would make me still take it on as a bet most likely. Same goes with Club Brugge 1H -0.25 if they show real dominance. Club Brugge Team total Over 1.5 also is still on my radar. I also don't exclude Standard actually playing a good match. Will be interesting to see how this one plays out in the end.Pre-Game Preview Bets I continue to share many of my pre-game bets in all my preview posts. Most of them are smaller bets or trading positions and some of them I took early in the week and might not have the exact same odds available. These bets should just be seen as info and not as something to blindly follow. Record on them so far this season is 199 Bets | +13.78% ROI on Flat Unit bets (See Results) Bigger pre-game bets which are rare these days I also tend to take extra on those in BTC.
Season 2020-2021 BTC Bets
Date | Bet | mBTC | Odds | Result | Betslip |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/01/2021 | Standard vs Waasland BTS | 2.5 | 1.86 | +2.15 | sportbet.one |
01/11/2020 | Antwerp -0.5 | 10 | 3.50 | -10 | sportbet.one |
03/10/2020 | OHL vs Zulte 1H Under 1.25 | 10 | 2.010 | +5.005 | sportbet.one |
Other Bookies, Projects & Platforms I used...
Month | Bets | Won | Lost | Push | Staked | Profit BTC | ROI |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jan 2020 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0100 | +0.01271 | +127% |
Dec 2019 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.0200 | -0.002000 | -100% |
Nov 2019 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0200 | -0.001800 | -9.00% |
Oct 2019 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.0400 | -0.020800 | -52.00% |
Sep 2019 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.0400 | +0.028890 | +72.22% |
Aug 2019 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0.1000 | +0.033860 | +33.86% |
July 2019 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0200 | +0.018000 | +90.0% |
Jun 2019 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0000 | +0.000000 | +0.00% |
May 2019 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0.0700 | -0.050000 | -71.43% |
Apr 2019 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.0500 | +0.024170 | +48.34% |
Mar 2019 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.0700 | +0.004120 | +5.89% |
Feb 2019 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.060 | +0.023210 | +23.21% |
Jan 2019 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0.100 | -0.079640 | -79.64% |
Dec 2018 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0.150 | -0.058880 | -39.25% |
Nov 2018 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0.170 | -0.032170 | -18.92% |
Oct 2018 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0.150 | -0.028290 | -18.86% |
Sep 2018 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0.140 | +0.141820 | +101,3% |
Aug 2018 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.080 | +0.045470 | +56.84% |
Jul 2018 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0.135 | +0.033590 | +24.88% |
Jun 2018 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0.150 | +0.018200 | +12.13% |
May 2018 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.020 | +0.023440 | +117% |
Feb 2018 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0.091 | -0.036293 | -39,88% |
Jan 2018 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0.147 | +0.005800 | +3.95% |
Dec 2017 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0.148 | +0.010422 | +7.04% |
Nov 2017 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 0.210 | -0.008030 | -3.82% |
Oct 2017 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0.210 | +0.003080 | +1.46% |
Sep 2017 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0.090 | +0.001440 | +1.60% |
Total | 266 | 124 | 126 | 16 | 2.491 | +0.092319 | +3.71% |
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