Epic Fail

So we have another disaster before the final game all bets are down.
Well 2 were down before the second game.

So whats going wrong?
There is always logical reasons for failure, you just have to acknowledge them and move on.

Reasoning
90% of my bets are placed in play.
I very rarely win on pre game bets.
I rarely lose on in play bets.
Almost everything I bet on i watch(if it's available)
When betting in play it gives you a feel of the game.
Having played most sports myself and bet on every sport. I try to pick up tells from players and flows of the game.
Players body language can tell you alot about how they are performing and are going to, which is important.
The flow of a game can sway throughout a game but overall there usually is a momentum building towards a final result.

Eg
Basketball a team lost the first quarter by 15 points
Lost the second by 2
Won the third by 10
They are still behind going into the 4th but they have the momentum, belief and luck.
So I'm betting on the team behind at that point.
Usually in those circumstances the trailing teams odds are good so return will be good IF they win.

Football
A pre game fav is down by a goal.
The winning team gets a player sent off with half the game remaining.
I'm betting on the team that's losing at that point.

So there you have it. Thats my somewhat logical explanation of how I bet.
How can we implement that in our giveaway?
No idea
I'm open to suggestions

If none we carry on chasing the dream