Tesla: The Top Is Here by Victor Dergunov

in LeoFinance11 months ago

Summary

  • To say that Tesla has been on fire lately is an understatement. The stock has gone parabolic, Bitcoin like, vertical in recent weeks.
  • The company's market cap is now around $160 billion, and its projected 2020 P/E multiple is roughly 113.
  • Stocks cannot continuously go up without price adjustments regardless of how bright the future may be for Tesla or how much the company's stock will eventually be worth.
  • Nevertheless, Tesla's future looks extremely promising and the stock is likely going substantially higher long term, but not without significant corrections along the way.
  • Tesla delivered $2.14 in EPS in Q4, 2 cents above my Q4 estimates. Read on to see what Tesla's 2020 financial results could potentially look like.
  • This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, Albright Investment Group . Get started today »


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Tesla's Top Is Here

Tesla’s (TSLA) stock has entered full throttle ludicrous mode, as shares have literally turned vertical in recent sessions. Due to what I referred to as the short squeeze of the century in a previous article, as well as various other factors, Tesla’s stock price has more than quintupled, roughly 5.5X from trough to peak since it bottomed in the summer of last year.

However, the stock is dramatically overbought on a technical basis right now. Moreover, Tesla sports a market cap of around $160 billion and trades at roughly 113 times consensus 2020 EPS estimates. I think the market is finally starting to understand that Tesla is the real deal, is here to stay, and could potentially become a trillion-dollar juggernaut 5-10 years from now.

Nevertheless, such parabolic, Bitcoin-like price action that we’ve seen of late is not sustainable. The stock cannot simply go vertical forever. In fact, it's very likely that Tesla hit a short to an intermediate-term top on Tuesday Feb. 4 and a significant correction appears like a probable scenario from here.

While the stock has likely gotten ahead of itself, the company is accomplishing remarkable achievements. Q4 numbers were great, Tesla’s Gigafactory in China is functioning well and will likely be firing on all cylinders relatively soon. 2020 will very likely be a phenomenal year for the company, and while the stock will probably go through a correction process, I expect share to be above $1,000 by the end of this year.

Parabolic, Vertical, Bitcoin Like Price Action

Tesla 1-Year

...Read the Full Post On Seeking Alpha

Author Bio:

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Steem Account: @victordergunov
Seeking Alpha Account: Victor Dergunov
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Yeah, that was really a hell of a ride in Tesla. Tried to short it, but I was to early and SL got hit (last friday I think). Fortunately, cause it made another 200 or 300 the next days.
I think some hedgefund made a mistake with puts and need to cover the stock after :D

xD yeah I read somewhere about the billions of $ that the short sellers lost on that TSLA rally.

I actually made a small killing on TSLA's run up to $900 and then again the day after when it dropped down to $780ish.

I had puts which rose 30% in value from implied volatility on the $900 day and then I bought more close to the money puts the next day that ended up with a 50% profit thanks to the sharp correction. Tesla is definitely a fun one to trade on. I'm still long-term bullish but these current price levels are completely irrational.

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Yes, really. Crazy volatile stock, good for swingtrades :)

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